IPv6 in One Equipment Cycle?

In Exponential IPv6 Part II, I looked at the recent rise in IPv6 uptake, which appears to be in the early stages of the S-shaped technology adoption curve. This starts out slowly, rises exponentially, slows again as the technology approaches saturation, and tapers off. In a talk at the recent Australian IPv6 Summit 2012, Fred Baker showed a version of this curve (right) with some surprising observations (2.5MB pdf). He … Continue reading

IPv6 Adoption and the Chasm

In IPv6 Market Has Liftoff – Now the Hard Part Begins, Bruce Sinclair, CEO of gogo6, looks at some of the results presented on 31 July at IETF 84, which led to enthusiastic headlines about ‘skyrocketing’ IPv6. (Ahem. This blog forecast IPv6 Growth Goes Exponential on 26 July.) Sinclair takes a valuable look at the results in the light of the technology adoption cycle, and asks “Does the ‘skyrocketing’ trajectory … Continue reading